Reflection Group “Monopoly on the use of force 2.0?”

Is there a need for new peace and ­security rules in the 21st century?

Jaïr van der Lijn

Think Piece 20: The future of the monopoly on the legitimate use of force - Four alternative global futures

The paper presents four alternative global futures for the monopoly on the legitimate use of force that aim to allow policy makers to embrace uncertainty and plan for the future.

Bild: Cover "Think Piece No. 20" von FES

SUMMARY

  • This paper presents four alternative global futures for the monopoly on the legitimate use of force with the aim of stimulating discussion and assisting policy planning. They are not predictions, but aim to allow policy makers to embrace uncertainty and plan for the future.
  • These futures were built on two key uncertainties: (1) Will security provision in 2040 be more consolidated or more fragmented? (2) Will security provision in 2040 be more inclusive or more exclusive?
  • The continuation of the current trend toward fragmentation, privatization, outsourcing and commodification of security provision needs to be avoided, or at very least requires oversight, regulation and coordination.
  • International cooperation and international solutions to transnational challenges are required at a time when tensions are once again on the rise.
  • An effective and legitimate monopoly on the use of force needs to be established cautiously by assisting legitimate security provision and, once firmly established, it requires maintenance.

Department/Section: Think Piece

Lijn, Jaïr van der

The future of the monopoly on the legitimate use of force

Four alternative global futures
Berlin

Download publication (270 KB, PDF-File)


Latest Issues

  • Mely Caballero-Anthony | Frieden und Sicherheit | Publikation

    Think Piece 22: Security in Times of Uncertainty in Asia

    Asias security outlook still appears to be laden with uncertainties. From the changing dynamics in the balance of power, an emboldened North Korea and...

    more information

  • Ann L. Phillips | Frieden und Sicherheit | Publikation

    Think Piece 21: Providing Security in Times of Uncertainty

    The final report, distills the findings of a two-year effort by more than 20 international experts to find answers on how to overcome rising...

    more information

  • Jaïr van der Lijn | Publikation

    Think Piece 20: The future of the monopoly on the legitimate use of force - Four alternative global futures

    The paper presents four alternative global futures for the monopoly on the legitimate use of force that aim to allow policy makers to embrace...

    more information

Dep. Global Policy and Development

more

Project Coordinator:
Bodo Schulze

030 / 269 35-7409

bodo.schulze(at)fes.de

back to top