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In the last ten years China has considerably stepped up its economic and political
relations with the countries of the Middle East and North Africa. Despite the rivalries
in the region China today enjoys good relations with all potential energy
providers, as well as with Israel. The main goal of its efforts is to satisfy its growing
energy needs, which the Chinese government has identified as one of the critical
factors in its economic development model. Through its large state energy companies,
flanked by intensive »oil diplomacy,« the leadership in Beijing has managed
to conclude numerous long-term delivery contracts which will cover the bulk
of Chinese oil imports.
Although economically aggressive China is politically moderate and seeks to
keep out of disputes in this notoriously unstable region. However, in a series of
conflicts, above all about the Iranian atomic program, but also developments in
Iraq and Sudan, it is becoming clear that Beijing’s different foreign policy goals
are becoming increasingly difficult to reconcile. Between dependence on the region’s
resources and expectations of political support on the part of some Arab
countries and Iran, as well as Beijing’s pretensions to be a reliable partner in international
politics, there will be little scope for China to maintain political neutrality
in the future.
China’s engagement in the region will be substantially determined by Sino-
American relations. China’s reputation for standing up against the premises and
goals of American foreign policy has proven advantageous in cultivating its bilateral
relations. However, with regard to us policy in the Middle East it has behaved
rather as a free-rider than as a »spoiler.« Beijing is basically prepared to
recognize the usa as the most important power for the stabilization of the region,
but at the same time it tries to curb us dominance through a more visible presence.
A policy of containment directed against China, demanded in a number of
clubs around Capitol Hill, is therefore unlikely to succeed. Through closer integration
in Middle East initiatives, however, China’s responsibility for finding a solution
to the region’s problems could be boosted. Multilateral engagement must
also be in accordance with Beijing’s wishes; otherwise it would feel that it was confronted
with the problems but without being in a position to exercise the same
kind of political influence as the USA.
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